S&P 500: Close below 200-DMA at 3021 to unfold further weakness – Credit Suisse

The S&P 500 has finally closed below the 3021 200-day average with OnBalanceVolume now also turning lower and close to completing a top. Next support is seen at the June low at 2966, then the 63-day average at 2917/14, per Credit Suisse.

Also see S&P 500: Two steps forward, one step back – Charles Schwab

Key quotes

“S&P 500 has finally closed below its 200-day average and on a weekly basis, currently seen placed at 3021, with OnBalanceVolume now also turning lower and on the cusp of completing a top. With a bearish ‘island top’ already in place, as well as daily MACD momentum, having turned lower we continue to look for a more concerted correction lower to emerge.” 

“Support is seen next at 2987 then more importantly at the June low at 2966. Beneath here can see a further price top complete to further reinforce the likelihood for further weakness with support seen next at the 63-day average and top of the price gap from mi-May at 2917/14. Whilst we would look for this to hold at first, our ‘ideal’ roadmap is for an eventual test of the 38.2% retracement of the entire rally from March at 2835.” 

“Near-term, resistance is seen at the 200-day average at 3020/24 and whilst below here the immediate risk is seen lower. Above can see resistance next at 3039/46, then 3082/86, which we look to now ideally cap.”